Lotteries are hard to win. The odds of hitting the Powerball jackpot are so tiny that, as a CNN commenter once put it, you have a better chance of becoming an astronaut, dating a supermodel, and ...
Among the most influential ideas in the cognitive sciences is that the mind emerges from approximations to Bayesian calculations 1,2,3,4. This idea, commonly called the ‘Bayesian brain hypothesis’, ...