Classical statistical approaches for multiclass probability estimation are typically based on regression techniques such as multiple logistic regression, or density estimation approaches such as ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract This paper presents methods for computing aggregate change in probabilities of a binary dependent variable from changes in distributions of ...

Ned Davis Research's Global Recession Probability Model is at 98.1%, the group wrote in a recent note. The only other times the indicator reached this level was in 2020 and 2008-2009. Most asset ...