Economic cycles are normal ebbs and flows in the economy that happen in a repeating pattern. Read more about them inside.

While the NBER collects economic data ostensibly to aid policymakers, the data it acquires is useless without proper economic ...

We have shown that business cycles of say five to ten years appear naturally due to an instability. Though it is the right ...

Seasonal businesses routinely encounter a range of financial and operational challenges. Navigating economic factors such as fluctuating tariffs threatening the cost of goods and immigration ...

As the U.S. economy shrinks, fears and predictions of a recession continue to grow. New Commerce Department data shows that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted at an annual rate of 0 ...

Consumer spending is a coincident-to-lagging indicator, not a leading one, so it’s a poor tool for forecasting the business cycle. Durable goods consumption is the most cyclical and informative ...

In 2026, a reasonable baseline outlook is that the U.S. economy will get fresh support from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s front-loaded fiscal easing.

After a turbulent period of irrational exuberance followed by skepticism, the creator economy appears poised for its second major growth cycle, with M&A activity forecast to accelerate significantly ...